PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / PENNSYLVANIA

Mike Kelly

Republican · U.S. Representative, Pennsylvania 16th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03

INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R KALSHI · 92¢ · CHECKED Aug 27

THE 2026 RACE · PENNSYLVANIA 16TH DISTRICTFull race page →

OPPONENTJustin Wagner (D)Challenger

FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27R 92¢ · D 9.5¢

LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race

STANDING · THIS SEAT

—prior margin located but unverified — withheld until it verifies

18:1fundraising ratio v Wagner · FEC period 06-30

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30

$1.17Mraised

$1.33Mcash on hand

· Wagner: $66.6K / $37.5K CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Primary05-19 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

R settled · D settled · I settled