Elections Intelligence

Mike Collins

GAU.S. Senate S architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely D Underdog
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What the Signal reads

Likely D

Collins is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Collins at 4.9¢ against Ossoff's 95.4¢, down 6.1¢ since July 31. The polling average has Ossoff ahead by 8.5 points, and Ossoff leads 10.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Collins · Republican contract
4.9¢
▼ 6.1¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mike Collins by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 3.9¢Oct 12
Mike CollinsRepublican
4.9¢
Jon OssoffDemocratic · incumbent
95.4¢

1,678,782 traded · 1,057,442 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Collins v Ossoff

Metric by metric
Collins
Ossoff
4.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
95.4¢
$7.41M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$77.28M
$2.08M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$42.59M
43%
Latest pollTrafalgar Group · Oct 9
51%
U.S. Representativesince 2023
Holds now
U.S. Senatorsince 2021

The 2026 race

Georgia U.S. Senate
Polling average
D+8.5

Average of 6 pollsters, September 16 to October 9.

Prior result
D+1.2

2021 general election, won by Jon Ossoff.

Fundraising
10.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.