Elections Intelligence

Bill Huizenga

MI-4U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Toss-up Competitive
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Toss-up

Huizenga is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Huizenga at 54¢ against McCann's 48¢, down 10¢ since August 3. The polling average has Huizenga ahead by 1 point, and Huizenga leads 1.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Huizenga · Republican contract
54.0¢
▼ 10.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Bill Huizenga by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 64¢ · low 52¢Oct 12
Bill HuizengaRepublican · incumbent
54.0¢
Sean McCannDemocratic
48.0¢

24,101 traded · 17,378 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Huizenga v McCann

Metric by metric
Huizenga
McCann
54.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
48.0¢
$4.09M
RaisedFEC, through July 15
$2.62M
$2.27M
Cash on handFEC, through July 15
$1.69M
46%
Latest pollGBAO, Mccann sponsor · Sep 16
47%
U.S. Representativesince 2011
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 4th District
Latest poll
R+1

GBAO, Mccann sponsor, September 16.

Prior result
R+12.6

2024 general election, won by Bill Huizenga.

Fundraising
1.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.