Elections Intelligence

Lynne Walz

NEGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Walz is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Walz at 9.9¢ against Pillen's 90.7¢, down 8.1¢ since July 31. The polling average has Pillen ahead by 7 points, and Pillen leads 2.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Walz · Democratic contract
9.9¢
▼ 8.1¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Lynne Walz by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 18¢ · low 8.6¢Oct 12
Lynne WalzDemocratic
9.9¢
Jim PillenRepublican · incumbent
90.7¢

64,651 traded · 50,384 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Walz v Pillen

Metric by metric
Walz
Pillen
9.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
90.7¢
$3.14M
RaisedState filings, through June 16 and September 29
$8.62M
$860.5K
Cash on handState filings, through June 16 and September 29
$9.53M
43%
Latest pollYouGov · Oct 3
44%
No office on file
Holds now
Governor of Nebraskasince 2023

The 2026 race

Nebraska Governor
Polling average
R+7

Average of 5 pollsters, September 13 to October 3.

Prior result
R+23.2

2022 general election, won by Jim Pillen.

Fundraising
2.7 to 1

Raised, through September 29.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.