Elections Intelligence

Justin J. Pearson

TN-9U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Pearson is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Pearson at 14¢ against Taylor's 88¢, up 3¢ since August 3. The polling average has Taylor ahead by 6 points, and Pearson leads 1.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Pearson · Democratic contract
14.0¢
▲ 3.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Justin J. Pearson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 17¢ · low 11¢Oct 12
Justin J. PearsonDemocratic
14.0¢
Brent TaylorRepublican
88.0¢

26,681 traded · 17,012 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pearson v Taylor

Metric by metric
Pearson
Taylor
14.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
88.0¢
$2.34M
RaisedFEC, through July 17
$1.55M
$844.7K
Cash on handFEC, through July 17
$417.4K
44%
Latest pollHart Research, D sponsor · Sep 3
48%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Tennessee 9th District
Latest poll
R+6

Hart Research, D sponsor, September 3.

Prior result
D+45.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Steve Cohen.

Fundraising
1.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.