Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr.

PA-8

INCUMBENT Lean D Competitive underdog

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Bresnahan is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Bresnahan at 27¢ against Cognetti's 74¢, down 17¢ since August 3. The polling average has Bresnahan ahead by 1 point, and Bresnahan leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bresnahan · Republican contract

27.0¢

▼ 17.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 44¢ · low 27¢Oct 12

Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr.Republican · incumbent

27.0¢

Paige CognettiDemocratic

74.0¢

181,526 traded · 160,631 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bresnahan v Cognetti

Metric by metric

Bresnahan

Cognetti

27.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

74.0¢

$5.23M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.61M

$2.61M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$3.41M

45%

Latest pollImpact Research, Cognetti sponsor · Jun 11

46%

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 8th District

Latest poll

R+1

Impact Research, Cognetti sponsor, June 11.

Prior result

R+1.6

2024 general election, won by Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr..

Fundraising

1.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.