Melanie A. Stansbury · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Stansbury is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Stansbury at 97.9¢ against Okpareke's 1.5¢, up 2.8¢ since August 3. Stansbury leads 13.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Stansbury · Democratic contract

97.9¢

▲ 2.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Melanie A. Stansbury by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.9¢ · low 94¢Oct 12

Melanie A. StansburyDemocratic · incumbent

97.9¢

Didi OkparekeRepublican

1.5¢

5,986 traded · 3,626 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Stansbury v Okpareke

Metric by metric

Stansbury

Okpareke

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

1.5¢

$1.35M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$100.3K

$416.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$42.7K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New Mexico 1st District

Prior result

D+12.7

2024 general election, won by Melanie A. Stansbury.

Fundraising

13.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.