Jonny Larsen
UT-4What the Signal reads
Likely R
Larsen is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Larsen at 5.9¢ against Kennedy's 97.3¢, down 1.4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Kennedy ahead by 8.8 points, and Kennedy leads 18.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Larsen · Democratic contract
5.9¢
▼ 1.4¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jonny Larsen by name.
5,228 traded · 3,506 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Larsen v Kennedy
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Utah 4th DistrictLatest poll
R+8.8
Lighthoust Research, September 17.
Prior result
R+33.2
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Burgess Owens.
Fundraising
18.1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.