Georgia Governor — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

A seat that went Republican by 8 points in 2022 is now a coin flip, the Democrat narrowly ahead at 60¢.

Toss-up

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Toss-upD 60¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Polling · Toss-upD+1.5 — Quantus Insights, Aug 11.Prior result · Lean RR+7.54 in 2022.

Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27

Polling moved 7.1 points toward the Republican over 32 days.

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 60¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

D+1.5

Quantus Insights ↗ July 29 – August 1, 2026 · n=815 LV D+1.5 INDEPENDENT

Fabrizio Ward / Impact Research ↗ 07-23 · n=1,060 LV D+6 PARTISAN

Beacon Research / Shaw & Company Research ↗ 07-01 · n=1,002 RV D+5 PARTISAN

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

R+7.54

Brian Kemp (R)

53.41 — 45.88 · 2022 general election

def. Stacey Abrams (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

—

Keisha Lance Bottoms$772.1K

Rick Jackson$4.32M

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 07-31 · STATE FILING

Cash on hand at the period end, not money raised.