Joe Mitchell
IA-2What the Signal reads
Toss-up
Mitchell is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Mitchell at 44¢ against James's 57¢, down 17¢ since August 3. The polling average has Mitchell ahead by 1 point, and Mitchell leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Mitchell · Republican contract
44.0¢
▼ 17.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Joe Mitchell by name.
35,800 traded · 27,389 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Mitchell v James
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Iowa 2nd DistrictLatest poll
R+1
GSG, House Majority PAC sponsor, August 1.
Prior result
R+15.6
2024 general election, won by Ashley Hinson.
Fundraising
1.1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.