Elections Intelligence

Sherrod Brown

OHU.S. Senate S architectural icon
CHALLENGER Toss-up Competitive
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Toss-up

Brown is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Brown at 60¢ against Husted's 41¢, up 7¢ since July 31. The polling average has Brown ahead by 3.2 points, and Brown leads 2.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Brown · Democratic contract
60.0¢
▲ 7.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Sherrod Brown by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 65¢ · low 51¢Oct 12
Sherrod BrownDemocratic
60.0¢
Jon HustedRepublican · incumbent
41.0¢

6,667,594 traded · 4,832,580 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Brown v Husted

Metric by metric
Brown
Husted
60.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
41.0¢
$38.57M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$14.36M
$16.23M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$9.42M
43%
Latest pollco/efficient, R-leaning firm · Oct 6
44%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Senator

The 2026 race

Ohio U.S. Senate (Special)
Polling average
D+3.2

Average of 11 pollsters, September 16 to October 6.

Prior result
R+6.1

2022 general election, won by JD Vance.

Fundraising
2.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The special election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.