David Flippo · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Flippo is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Flippo at 73¢ against Benitez-Thompson's 27¢, down 10¢ since August 3. The polling average has Flippo ahead by 0.5 points, and Flippo leads 8.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Flippo · Republican contract

73.0¢

▼ 10.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on David Flippo by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 83¢ · low 61¢Oct 12

David FlippoRepublican

73.0¢

Teresa F. Benitez-ThompsonDemocratic

27.0¢

Mark E. AmodeiRepublican

no contract on this candidate in the market

57,875 traded · 33,468 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Flippo v Benitez-Thompson

Metric by metric

Flippo

Benitez-Thompson

73.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

27.0¢

$2.23M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$257.1K

$117.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$140.6K

37%

Latest pollGBAO, Nevada Alliance sponsor · Sep 3

38%

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Nevada 2nd District

Polling average

R+0.5

Average of 3 pollsters, July 12 to September 3.

Prior result

Amodei +19.0

Amodei won 55.0% to 36.0% over Greg Kidd (no party) (2024).

Fundraising

8.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.