Deb Haaland
NMWhat the Signal reads
Likely D
Haaland is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Haaland at 91.8¢ against Hull's 8.2¢, up 3.8¢ since July 31. The polling average has Haaland ahead by 6.4 points, and Haaland leads 9.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Haaland · Democratic contract
91.8¢
▲ 3.8¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Deb Haaland by name.
91,028 traded · 65,695 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Haaland v Hull
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
New Mexico GovernorPolling average
D+6.4
Average of 3 pollsters, August 28 to October 9.
Prior result
D+6.4
2022 general election, won by Michelle Lujan Grisham.
Fundraising
9.1 to 1
Raised, through September 7.