Ben Cline · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Cline is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Cline at 91.8¢ against Macy's 7.9¢, down 0.2¢ since August 3. The polling average has Cline ahead by 30 points, and Macy leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Cline · Republican contract

91.8¢

▼ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Ben Cline by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.4¢ · low 91.1¢Oct 12

Ben ClineRepublican · incumbent

91.8¢

Beth A. MacyDemocratic

7.9¢

55,352 traded · 15,362 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Cline v Macy

Metric by metric

Cline

Macy

91.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

7.9¢

$1.44M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$1.69M

$711.4K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$847.5K

59%

Latest pollco/efficient, R-leaning firm · Sep 30

29%

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Virginia 6th District

Latest poll

R+30

co/efficient, R-leaning firm, September 30.

Prior result

R+28.3

2024 general election, won by Ben Cline.

Fundraising

1.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.