Elections Intelligence

Zach Lahn

IAGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely D Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Lahn is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Lahn at 13¢ against Sand's 88¢, down 23¢ since July 31. The polling average has Sand ahead by 8.7 points, and Sand leads 1.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Lahn · Republican contract
13.0¢
▼ 23.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Zach Lahn by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 36¢ · low 13¢Oct 12
Zach LahnRepublican
13.0¢
Rob SandDemocratic
88.0¢

1,670,368 traded · 1,204,312 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lahn v Sand

Metric by metric
Lahn
Sand
13.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
88.0¢
$6.37M
RaisedState filings, through July 14
$9.39M
$1.05M
Cash on handState filings, through July 14
$17.96M
45.3%
Latest pollEmerson College · Oct 6
49%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Iowa Governor
Polling average
D+8.7

Average of 7 pollsters, September 16 to October 6.

Prior result
R+18.5

2022 general election, won by Kim Reynolds.

Fundraising
1.4 to 1

Raised, through July 14.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.