Don Leonard
OH-15What the Signal reads
Lean R
Leonard is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Leonard at 25¢ against Carey's 77¢, up 4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Carey ahead by 1 point, and Carey leads 5.4 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Leonard · Democratic contract
25.0¢
▲ 4.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Don Leonard by name.
16,879 traded · 9,606 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Leonard v Carey
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Ohio 15th DistrictLatest poll
R+1
Hart Research, D sponsor, September 24.
Prior result
R+12.9
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Mike Carey.
Fundraising
5.4 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.