Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / OHIO

Don Leonard

Democratic · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT LEAN R — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 19¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · OHIO 15TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTMike Carey (R)Incumbent
FTP RACE SIGNALLean RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 85¢ · D 19¢
LATEST POLLR+4<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.politico.com/newsletters/weekly-score/2026/08/17/is-it-dans-sullivan-or-dan-sullivans-01038900" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Hart Research ↗</a> (A-) 08-15 · n=401
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:5fundraising ratio v Carey · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$606.7Kraised
$252.4Kcash on hand
· Carey: $3.30M / $2.06M CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary05-05 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled
COMPARE V CAREY ⇄