Colby Watson · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Watson is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Watson at 5¢ against Harris's 97.6¢, down 4.9¢ since August 3. Harris leads 25.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Watson · Democratic contract

5.0¢

▼ 4.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Colby Watson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 4.8¢Oct 12

Colby WatsonDemocratic

5.0¢

Mark HarrisRepublican · incumbent

97.6¢

8,623 traded · 5,391 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Watson v Harris

Metric by metric

Watson

Harris

5.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.6¢

$39.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.02M

$2.3K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$517.9K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

North Carolina 8th District

Prior result

R+19.2

2024 general election, won by Mark Harris.

Fundraising

25.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.