Ann Wagner
MO-2What the Signal reads
Lean R
Wagner is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Wagner at 74¢ against Wellman's 27¢, down 7¢ since August 3. The polling average has Wagner ahead by 2 points, and Wagner leads 3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Wagner · Republican contract
74.0¢
▼ 7.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Ann Wagner by name.
79,790 traded · 60,997 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Wagner v Wellman
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Missouri 2nd DistrictPolling average
R+2
Average of 2 pollsters, May 31 to September 15.
Prior result
R+12.0
2024 general election, won by Ann Wagner.
Fundraising
3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.