Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / VIRGINIA

Tom Perriello

Democratic · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT LEAN R — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 19¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · VIRGINIA 5TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTJohn J. McGuire III (R)Incumbent
FTP RACE SIGNALLean RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 82¢ · D 19¢
LATEST POLLR+3<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EkjffKo5q9TcJ4GLK9LS-00iPmeBhGS5/view" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Expedition Strategies ↗</a> 08-18 · n=1,450
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:1fundraising ratio v McGuire · FEC period 07-15
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 07-15
$2.14Mraised
$1.51Mcash on hand
· McGuire: $1.78M / $524.4K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary08-04 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled
COMPARE V MCGUIRE ⇄