Elections Intelligence

Kristin Hook

TX-21U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R to Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Hook is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Hook at 5.4¢ against Teixeira's 95.1¢, down 4.1¢ since August 3. Teixeira leads 16.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hook · Democratic contract
5.4¢
▼ 4.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kristin Hook by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.9¢ · low 5.1¢Oct 12
Kristin HookDemocratic
5.4¢
Mark TeixeiraRepublican
95.1¢

10,924 traded · 7,303 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hook v Teixeira

Metric by metric
Hook
Teixeira
5.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
95.1¢
$241.3K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$3.92M
$104.1K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$382.2K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 21st District
Prior result
R+25.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Chip Roy.

Fundraising
16.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.