Laurie Buckhout

NC-1

CHALLENGER Toss-up to Lean D Competitive underdog

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Buckhout is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Buckhout at 35¢ against Davis's 67¢, down 15¢ since July 31. The polling average has Davis ahead by 5.7 points, and Davis leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Buckhout · Republican contract

35.0¢

▼ 15.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Laurie Buckhout by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 50¢ · low 35¢Oct 12

Laurie BuckhoutRepublican

35.0¢

Donald G. DavisDemocratic · incumbent

67.0¢

121,556 traded · 82,751 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Buckhout v Davis

Metric by metric

Buckhout

Davis

35.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

67.0¢

$3.77M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.29M

$1.83M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$3.57M

43%

Latest pollco/efficient, R-leaning firm · Oct 8

42%

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

North Carolina 1st District

Polling average

D+5.7

Average of 3 pollsters, October 4 to October 8.

Prior result

D+1.7

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Donald G. Davis.

Fundraising

1.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.