Mark Harris · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Harris is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Harris at 97.6¢ against Watson's 5¢, up 8.6¢ since August 3. Harris leads 25.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Harris · Republican contract

97.6¢

▲ 8.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mark Harris by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.6¢ · low 89¢Oct 12

Mark HarrisRepublican · incumbent

97.6¢

Colby WatsonDemocratic

5.0¢

8,623 traded · 5,391 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Harris v Watson

Metric by metric

Harris

Watson

97.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

5.0¢

$1.02M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$39.6K

$517.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$2.3K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

North Carolina 8th District

Prior result

R+19.2

2024 general election, won by Mark Harris.

Fundraising

25.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.