California Attorney General
DEFENDED SEAT
KALSHI
No settling contract exists — the full Kalshi catalog was scanned and exhausted (catalog 2026-08-27).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Nothing live is reporting on this seat. Its last general election was a 18-point Democratic hold in 2022.
Likely D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Prior result · Likely DD+18.2 in 2022.
Signal clarityLow — no market price, no pollingas of 2026-08-26
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
—
No settling contract prices this race, so there is no market reading.
CONFIRMED ABSENT — the full Kalshi catalogue was scanned and exhausted (catalogue 2026-08-27).
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
—
No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+18.2
Rob Bonta (D)
59.1 — 40.9 · 2022 general election
def. Nathan Hochman (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
—
Rob Bonta$6.28M
Michael Gates$872.3K
PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 06-30 · STATE FILING
Cash on hand at the period end, not money raised.