Elections Intelligence

Teresa F. Benitez-Thompson

NV-2U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean R Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Benitez-Thompson is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Benitez-Thompson at 27¢ against Flippo's 73¢, up 8¢ since August 3. The polling average has Flippo ahead by 0.5 points, and Flippo leads 8.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Benitez-Thompson · Democratic contract
27.0¢
▲ 8.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Teresa F. Benitez-Thompson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 28¢ · low 19¢Oct 12
Teresa F. Benitez-ThompsonDemocratic
27.0¢
David FlippoRepublican
73.0¢
Mark E. AmodeiRepublican
no contract on this candidate in the market

57,875 traded · 33,468 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Benitez-Thompson v Flippo

Metric by metric
Benitez-Thompson
Flippo
27.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
73.0¢
$257.1K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.23M
$140.6K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$117.9K
38%
Latest pollGBAO, Nevada Alliance sponsor · Sep 3
37%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Nevada 2nd District
Polling average
R+0.5

Average of 3 pollsters, July 12 to September 3.

Prior result
Amodei +19.0

Amodei won 55.0% to 36.0% over Greg Kidd (no party) (2024).

Fundraising
8.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.