Elections Intelligence

Christina Hines

MI-10U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean D Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Hines is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Hines at 66¢ against Bouchard's 35¢, down 4¢ since July 31. The polling average has Bouchard ahead by 2 points, and Bouchard leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hines · Democratic contract
66.0¢
▼ 4.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Christina Hines by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 86¢ · low 61¢Oct 12
Christina HinesDemocratic
66.0¢
Michael BouchardRepublican
35.0¢

23,776 traded · 10,897 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hines v Bouchard

Metric by metric
Hines
Bouchard
66.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
35.0¢
$1.21M
RaisedFEC, through July 15
$1.41M
$158.2K
Cash on handFEC, through July 15
$958.2K
45%
Latest pollGSG, House Majority PAC sponsor · Aug 13
45%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 10th District
Latest poll
R+2

GSG, House Majority PAC sponsor, August 13.

Prior result
R+6.7

2024 general election, won by John James.

Fundraising
1.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.