Elections Intelligence

Joe Wilson

SC-2U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Wilson is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Wilson at 89¢ against Khalifa's 13¢, up 1¢ since August 3. Wilson leads 44.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Wilson · Republican contract
89.0¢
▲ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Joe Wilson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 94¢ · low 88¢Oct 12
Joe WilsonRepublican · incumbent
89.0¢
Zyon KhalifaDemocratic
13.0¢

18,144 traded · 9,876 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Wilson v Khalifa

Metric by metric
Wilson
Khalifa
89.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
13.0¢
$861.1K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$19.3K
$182.9K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$724
U.S. Representativesince 2001
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

South Carolina 2nd District
Prior result
R+19.3

2024 general election, won by Joe Wilson.

Fundraising
44.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.