Trever Nehls · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Nehls is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Nehls at 95.6¢ against Greene-Scott's 5.8¢, up 5¢ since August 3. Nehls leads 7.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Nehls · Republican contract

95.6¢

▲ 5.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Trever Nehls by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 95.6¢ · low 90.6¢Oct 12

Trever NehlsRepublican

95.6¢

Marquette Greene-ScottDemocratic

5.8¢

4,911 traded · 3,357 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Nehls v Greene-Scott

Metric by metric

Nehls

Greene-Scott

95.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

5.8¢

$429.5K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$53.8K

$151.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$127

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 22nd District

Prior result

R+24.3

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Troy E. Nehls.

Fundraising

7.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.