Keith Self
TX-3What the Signal reads
Self is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Self at 95.1¢ against Hunt's 6.8¢, up 3.1¢ since August 3. Self leads 1.4 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Keith Self by name.
16,868 traded · 9,625 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Self v Hunt
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Texas 3rd District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Keith Self.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+20.1 → R+23.4
Texas redrew its congressional map in the middle of the decade through HB 4, which Gov. Greg Abbott signed on Aug. 29, 2025. A federal court blocked the map, but the U.S. Supreme Court put that ruling on hold in December 2025 and reversed it in April 2026, so the new lines are in place for 2026. It becomes somewhat more Republican, going from Trump +20.1 to Trump +23.4 in the 2024 presidential vote.