Amish Shah
AZ-1What the Signal reads
Lean D
Shah is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Shah at 78¢ against Feely's 23¢, up 3¢ since July 31. The polling average has Shah ahead by 2.8 points, and Feely leads 1.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Shah · Democratic contract
78.0¢
▲ 3.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Amish Shah by name.
105,477 traded · 73,750 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Shah v Feely
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Arizona 1st DistrictLatest poll
D+2.8
FirstStrat. CPA, October 1.
Prior result
R+3.8
2024 general election, won by David Schweikert.
Fundraising
1.3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.