Kristen McDonald Rivet · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Rivet is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Rivet at 98.1¢ against Smith's 5¢, up 10.1¢ since July 31. Rivet leads 548.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Rivet · Democratic contract

98.1¢

▲ 10.1¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kristen McDonald Rivet by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 88¢Oct 12

Kristen McDonald RivetDemocratic · incumbent

98.1¢

Thomas SmithRepublican

5.0¢

9,109 traded · 5,704 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Rivet v Smith

Metric by metric

Rivet

Smith

98.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

5.0¢

$5.64M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$10.3K

$4.25M

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$7.0K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 8th District

Prior result

D+6.7

2024 general election, won by Kristen McDonald Rivet.

Fundraising

548.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.