Elaine Luria
VA-2What the Signal reads
Lean D
Luria is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Luria at 87¢ against Kiggans's 14¢, up 6¢ since August 3. The polling average has Kiggans ahead by 2 points, and Kiggans leads 1.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Luria · Democratic contract
87.0¢
▲ 6.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Elaine Luria by name.
225,323 traded · 158,927 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Luria v Kiggans
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Virginia 2nd DistrictLatest poll
R+2
Tulchin Research, House Majority PAC sponsor, July 13.
Prior result
R+3.8
2024 general election, won by Jennifer A. Kiggans.
Fundraising
1.2 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.