Elections Intelligence

Dwayne Romero

CO-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean R Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Romero is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Romero at 28¢ against Hurd's 72¢, up 2¢ since August 3. The polling average has Hurd ahead by 3 points, and Hurd leads 4.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Romero · Democratic contract
28.0¢
▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Dwayne Romero by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 52¢ · low 26¢Oct 12
Dwayne RomeroDemocratic
28.0¢
Jeff HurdRepublican · incumbent
72.0¢

66,156 traded · 54,142 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Romero v Hurd

Metric by metric
Romero
Hurd
28.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
72.0¢
$716.6K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$3.55M
$84.2K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.76M
45%
Latest pollKeating Research, Romero sponsor · Jul 23
46%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Colorado 3rd District
Latest poll
R+3

Keating Research, Romero sponsor, July 23.

Prior result
R+5.0

2024 general election, won by Jeff Hurd.

Fundraising
4.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.