Elections Intelligence

Paul Barringer

NC-13U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Barringer is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Barringer at 16¢ against Knott's 86¢, up 5¢ since August 3. Knott leads 1.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Barringer · Democratic contract
16.0¢
▲ 5.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Paul Barringer by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 18¢ · low 11¢Oct 12
Paul BarringerDemocratic
16.0¢
Brad KnottRepublican · incumbent
86.0¢

4,542 traded · 2,931 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Barringer v Knott

Metric by metric
Barringer
Knott
16.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
86.0¢
$1.02M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.34M
$514.6K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$707.8K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

North Carolina 13th District
Prior result
R+17.3

2024 general election, won by Brad Knott.

Fundraising
1.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.