Nebraska Governor — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market and the latest general-election poll carry this seat — Nebraska has no verified prior result on file.

Likely R

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Polling · Toss-upR+2 — Lake Research, May 27.Market · Likely RR 91.6¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.

Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27

Polling moved 7 points toward the Republican over 43 days.

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

R 91.6¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

R+2

Lake Research ↗ B+ Apr 25 - 29, 26 · n=900 LV R+2 D SPONSOR

Lake Research ↗ B+ Dec 11 - 17, 25 · n=900 LV R+5 D SPONSOR

Lake Research ↗ B+ Jul 23 - 29, 25 · n=900 LV R+12 D SPONSOR

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

—

No verified prior result

The last general election in this seat has not been imported from an official state canvass, so the signal has no baseline.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

5.8 to 1

Lynne Walz$1.48M

Jim Pillen$8.62M

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 06-16 · STATE FILING

Total receipts this cycle.