PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / PENNSYLVANIA

Justin Wagner

Democratic · House challenger

CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 9.5¢ · CHECKED Aug 27

THE 2026 RACE · PENNSYLVANIA 16TH DISTRICTFull race page →

OPPONENTMike Kelly (R)Incumbent

FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27R 92¢ · D 9.5¢

LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race

STANDING · THIS SEAT

1:18fundraising ratio v Kelly · FEC period 06-30

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30

$66.6Kraised

$37.5Kcash on hand

· Kelly: $1.17M / $1.33M CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Primary05-19 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

R settled · D settled · I settled