Derrick Van Orden
WI-3What the Signal reads
Lean D
Orden is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Orden at 26¢ against Cooke's 75¢, down 9¢ since August 3. The polling average has Cooke ahead by 1.3 points, and Cooke leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Orden · Republican contract
26.0¢
▼ 9.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Derrick Van Orden by name.
139,188 traded · 36,638 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Orden v Cooke
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Wisconsin 3rd DistrictPolling average
D+1.3
Average of 3 pollsters, October 15 to June 25.
Prior result
R+2.7
2024 general election, won by Derrick Van Orden.
Fundraising
1.1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.