Gina Hinojosa
TXWhat the Signal reads
Lean R
Hinojosa is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Hinojosa at 20¢ against Abbott's 81¢, up 2¢ since July 31. The polling average has Abbott ahead by 2.5 points, and Abbott leads 1.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Hinojosa · Democratic contract
20.0¢
▲ 2.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Gina Hinojosa by name.
2,061,777 traded · 1,337,500 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Hinojosa v Abbott
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Texas GovernorPolling average
R+2.5
Average of 11 pollsters, September 13 to October 5.
Prior result
R+10.9
2022 general election, won by Greg Abbott.
Fundraising
1.5 to 1
Raised, through September 24.