Michael R. Turner
Ran for Ohio's 10th District
Turner is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Strong D edge. The market prices a Republican hold of the seat at 0¢. The polling average has Turner ahead by 5 points, and Turner leads 1.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
The 2026 race
The polls had Turner ahead by 5 points across 3 pollsters.
Turner won this seat in 2024 by 18.4 points, 57.6% to 39.2%, over Amy Cox.
Turner raised $1.32M to Knickerbocker's $1.01M through October 14.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+5.7 → R+7.8
Ohio had to redraw its map before 2026. The bipartisan Ohio Redistricting Commission voted unanimously for a new plan on Oct. 31, 2025, and it stays in place until the next census. Its partisan lean barely changes (Trump +5.7 to Trump +7.8 in the 2024 presidential vote).