Elections Intelligence

Vivek Ramaswamy

OHGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Toss-up to Lean D Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Ramaswamy is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Ramaswamy at 30¢ against Acton's 71¢, down 21¢ since July 31. The polling average has Acton ahead by 4.8 points, and Acton leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Ramaswamy · Republican contract
30.0¢
▼ 21.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Vivek Ramaswamy by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 53¢ · low 30¢Oct 12
Vivek RamaswamyRepublican
30.0¢
Amy ActonDemocratic
71.0¢

2,375,773 traded · 1,550,562 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ramaswamy v Acton

Metric by metric
Ramaswamy
Acton
30.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
71.0¢
$14.36M
RaisedState filings, through July 31
$16.47M
$30.74M
Cash on handState filings, through July 31
$14.02M
45%
Latest pollco/efficient, R-leaning firm · Oct 6
43%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Ohio Governor
Polling average
D+4.8

Average of 6 pollsters, September 27 to October 6.

Prior result
R+25.0

2022 general election, won by Mike DeWine.

Fundraising
1.1 to 1

Raised, through July 31.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.