Elections Intelligence

Darline Graham

SCU.S. Senate S architectural icon
INCUMBENT · APPOINTED Lean R Favored
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What the Signal reads

Lean R

Graham is the Republican appointed incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Graham at 86¢ against Andrews's 15¢, down 2¢ since July 31. The polling average has Graham ahead by 2 points, and Andrews leads 31.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Graham · Republican contract
86.0¢
▼ 2.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Darline Graham by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 90.5¢ · low 86¢Oct 12
Darline GrahamRepublican · incumbent
86.0¢
Annie AndrewsDemocratic
15.0¢

2,820,189 traded · 1,927,876 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Graham v Andrews

Metric by metric
Graham
Andrews
86.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
15.0¢
$346.8K
RaisedFEC, through June 30 and August 5
$10.80M
$251.4K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and August 5
$4.12M
49%
Latest pollRasmussen Reports · Oct 8
45%
U.S. Senator
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

South Carolina U.S. Senate
Polling average
R+2

Average of 3 pollsters, September 25 to October 8.

Prior result
R+10.3

2020 general election, won by Lindsey Graham.

Fundraising
31.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through August 5.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.