Elections Intelligence

Mark Lamb

AZ-5U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Lamb is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Lamb at 91.5¢ against Lee's 11¢, up 1.1¢ since August 3. Lamb leads 7.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Lamb · Republican contract
91.5¢
▲ 1.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mark Lamb by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.9¢ · low 87¢Oct 12
Mark LambRepublican
91.5¢
Elizabeth LeeDemocratic
11.0¢

23,690 traded · 6,536 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lamb v Lee

Metric by metric
Lamb
Lee
91.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
11.0¢
$1.22M
RaisedFEC, through July 1
$153.1K
$243.4K
Cash on handFEC, through July 1
$26.7K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Arizona 5th District
Prior result
R+20.8

2024 general election, won by Andy Biggs.

Fundraising
7.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.