Elections Intelligence

James Byrd

WYU.S. Senate S architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Byrd is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Byrd at 2.5¢ against Hageman's 97.9¢, down 0.2¢ since July 31. Hageman leads 107.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Byrd · Democratic contract
2.5¢
▼ 0.2¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on James Byrd by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 2.8¢ · low 1.8¢Oct 12
James ByrdDemocratic
2.5¢
Harriet M. HagemanRepublican
97.9¢

24,564 traded · 17,657 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Byrd v Hageman

Metric by metric
Byrd
Hageman
2.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.9¢
$22.6K
RaisedFEC, through July 29
$2.44M
$356
Cash on handFEC, through July 29
$915.4K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Wyoming U.S. Senate
Prior result
R+45.5

2020 general election, won by Cynthia M. Lummis.

Fundraising
107.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.