Harriet M. Hageman · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Hageman is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Hageman at 97.9¢ against Byrd's 2.5¢, up 0.6¢ since July 31. Hageman leads 107.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Hageman · Republican contract

97.9¢

▲ 0.6¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Harriet M. Hageman by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97.3¢Oct 12

Harriet M. HagemanRepublican

97.9¢

James ByrdDemocratic

2.5¢

24,564 traded · 17,657 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hageman v Byrd

Metric by metric

Hageman

Byrd

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.5¢

$2.44M

RaisedFEC, through July 29

$22.6K

$915.4K

Cash on handFEC, through July 29

$356

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Wyoming U.S. Senate

Prior result

R+45.5

2020 general election, won by Cynthia M. Lummis.

Fundraising

107.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.