Lizzie Fletcher
TX-7What the Signal reads
Fletcher is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Fletcher at 97¢ against Hale's 3.2¢, up 1.9¢ since August 3. Fletcher leads 18.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Lizzie Fletcher by name.
39,981 traded · 25,928 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Fletcher v Hale
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Texas 7th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Lizzie Fletcher.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+20.8 → D+23.4
Texas redrew its congressional map in the middle of the decade through HB 4, which Gov. Greg Abbott signed on Aug. 29, 2025. A federal court blocked the map, but the U.S. Supreme Court put that ruling on hold in December 2025 and reversed it in April 2026, so the new lines are in place for 2026. Its partisan lean barely changes (Harris +20.8 to Harris +23.4 in the 2024 presidential vote).