Alexander Hale · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Hale is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Hale at 3.2¢ against Fletcher's 97¢, down 4.2¢ since August 3. Fletcher leads 18.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Hale · Republican contract

3.2¢

▼ 4.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Alexander Hale by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.3¢ · low 2.7¢Oct 12

Alexander HaleRepublican

3.2¢

Lizzie FletcherDemocratic · incumbent

97.0¢

39,981 traded · 25,928 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hale v Fletcher

Metric by metric

Hale

Fletcher

3.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.0¢

$76.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.43M

$6.3K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.70M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Texas 7th District

Prior result

D+22.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Lizzie Fletcher.

Fundraising

18.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.