Raul Ruiz
CA-25What the Signal reads
Ruiz is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Ruiz at 98.9¢ against Males's 4.1¢, up 7.9¢ since August 3. Ruiz leads 2.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Raul Ruiz by name.
1,467 traded · 1,183 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Ruiz v Males
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 25th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Raul Ruiz.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+2.5 → D+5.8
California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. It becomes somewhat more Democratic, going from Harris +2.5 to Harris +5.8 in the 2024 presidential vote.