Joe Males · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Males is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Males at 4.1¢ against Ruiz's 98.9¢, down 4.4¢ since August 3. Ruiz leads 2.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Males · Republican contract

4.1¢

▼ 4.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Joe Males by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.5¢ · low 4.1¢Oct 12

Joe MalesRepublican

4.1¢

Raul RuizDemocratic · incumbent

98.9¢

1,467 traded · 1,183 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Males v Ruiz

Metric by metric

Males

Ruiz

4.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.9¢

$936.5K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.09M

$14.8K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$2.56M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

California 25th District

Prior result

D+12.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Raul Ruiz.

Fundraising

2.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.