Elections Intelligence

JB Pritzker

ILGovernor: G under a starred pediment
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Pritzker is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Pritzker at 97.1¢ against Bailey's 3¢, up 1.1¢ since July 31. The polling average has Pritzker ahead by 20 points, and Pritzker leads 12.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Pritzker · Democratic contract
97.1¢
▲ 1.1¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on JB Pritzker by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 98.1¢ · low 93¢Oct 12
JB PritzkerDemocratic · incumbent
97.1¢
Darren BaileyRepublican
3.0¢

140,122 traded · 117,739 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pritzker v Bailey

Metric by metric
Pritzker
Bailey
97.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.0¢
$25.62M
RaisedState filings, through June 30
$2.11M
$3.14M
Cash on handState filings, through June 30
$128.0K
54%
Latest pollPPP, D-leaning firm · Oct 1
34%
Governor of Illinoissince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois Governor
Polling average
D+20

Average of 2 pollsters, November 24 to October 1.

Prior result
D+12.5

2022 general election, won by JB PritzkerJuliana Stratton.

Fundraising
12.1 to 1

Raised, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.