Elections Intelligence

Gary Cordery

HIGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Cordery is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Cordery at 2.3¢ against Green's 99¢, down 1.3¢ since July 31. Green leads 9.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Cordery · Republican contract
2.3¢
▼ 1.3¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Gary Cordery by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 4.4¢ · low 2.3¢Oct 12
Gary CorderyRepublican
2.3¢
Josh GreenDemocratic · incumbent
99.0¢

10,830 traded · 6,139 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Cordery v Green

Metric by metric
Cordery
Green
2.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
99.0¢
$406.9K
RaisedState filings, through September 26
$3.72M
$26.3K
Cash on handState filings, through September 26
$1.59M
No office on file
Holds now
Governor of Hawaiisince 2022

The 2026 race

Hawaii Governor
Prior result
D+25.9

2022 general election, won by Josh Green.

Fundraising
9.1 to 1

Raised, through September 26.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.