Elections Intelligence

Josh Green

HIGovernor: G under a starred pediment
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Green is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Green at 99¢ against Cordery's 2.3¢, up 2.9¢ since July 31. Green leads 9.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Green · Democratic contract
99.0¢
▲ 2.9¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Josh Green by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 96.1¢Oct 12
Josh GreenDemocratic · incumbent
99.0¢
Gary CorderyRepublican
2.3¢

10,830 traded · 6,139 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Green v Cordery

Metric by metric
Green
Cordery
99.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.3¢
$3.72M
RaisedState filings, through September 26
$406.9K
$1.59M
Cash on handState filings, through September 26
$26.3K
Governor of Hawaiisince 2022
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Hawaii Governor
Prior result
D+25.9

2022 general election, won by Josh Green.

Fundraising
9.1 to 1

Raised, through September 26.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.